Sailing decks over the Strait of Hormuz

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Sailing decks over the Strait of Hormuz
The Strait of Hormuz

Standing at a deck over the Strait of Hormuz under the firing heat over 40 Celsius, between the naval fleets of US and Iran, I am asking to the Hormuz, is that hot weather can flash into a hot war or this is another bluff by Trump?

Let’s hear the whispers of Hormuz…. 

Strait of Hormuz map
Strait of Hormuz map



What is the Trump assumption? The bad fat Arabs and short-tempered Iran!!


Since the hundreds of years Americans and the westerns have some silly assumptions about the Arabs, Iranians and other nations,  which they develop during the bright ages of the west since the 18th century, the time when the west ruled over the world, and they are presenting it in their movies and most of their media preparing their analysis and jibes on the basis of that ridiculous assumptions. 
  • The bad fat Arabs…
  • The short-tempered mindless Iranians...
Is that the assumptions under that Trump dreamed to blaze the new war in the Middle East? He should know the time has been over for that, He is standing in the real world, not in WWE drama wrestling…

Neither Trump is the President of that United States of 1992 nor this is period of 1992 when the world believes on the American conspiracies… there was so much water flowed under the bridge.


The first lesson that Americans do not want to learn that they have been lost the trust of the world…

Why? There are reasons;
  1. The Gulf wars over the American conspiracy of weapons of mass distraction, that never found ever.
  2. The never-ending war against terrorism, which is finding an end between the negotiations with the Taliban.
  3. The Syrian war that Americans lost against the Bashar backed by Iran and Russia.
  4. Messy violent Libya after Gaddafi, looking so orphaned. 
After all that mess, Trump comes up with a new one blockage of Iran.

The Americans policies and intervention in the Middle East taught many lessons to Arabs.


US carrier over Strait of Hormuz 

New and young Arab regimes… South of Hormuz
This is not the Arab regimes of 1992 when the Bush Senior come to them after brought up the crisis of Kuwait and Iraq, they had no options other than going for a US lead war.

Or not a time of 2001 when the world was either in fame or in fear of American “New World Order”.

The lesson that learned in during last 30 years provided experience to them come up with their own policies to control the region for their own interests.
Especially after Trump lead Americans campaign of “Khashoggi” to out Muhammad Bin Salman (MBS) as crown prince, that was the last nail in the coffin of Arab trust on America.

The new leaders of Arabs like Muhammad Bin Salman and Muhammad bin Zaid are educated and intelligent.

After so many years of unrest in the Middle East now it comes toward some stability, the Arab spring, the Syrian crisis, and Iraq are going to stabilize. Although Yemen is still a flashing point…

In these situations, the Arabs do not want any war that once again unstable the region that will bring up chaos to their own home. Although they want to capitalize on the current crisis to force Iran to come on the settlement in Yemen.

They know that the Iranian regime is not brainless to attack oil ships when the Strait of Hormuz is already a flashpoint after American Naval formations. And they also know that Houthis does not have sophisticated drown technology that can carry missiles to attack Saudi Oil Installations, even Iran could not help them in that regards, then who is behind all these attacks?

Americans should understand that all such kind of tech ticks have been obsoleted and not effective now.

Although this situation is providing an opportunity for Arabs to forced Iran for negotiations, certainly there is no way through Americans.

The reason once again the trust deficit, conflict of interest…

The surrounded Iran … North of Hormuz
Although the western media and the media under western influence always portray the negativity against Iran, it is eventually a fact that for five years Iranians is on the track of winning strategical gains in the region either it is Iraq or Syria, Iran is having influence in both. This is after fourteen hundred years Iran is such influential in the region. That is hurting and scaring its opponents like and Israel and Israeli influenced Trump regime, which is the fact behind the current Hormuz crisis.

But Iran should need some consideration of the fact. Iran could not win that gains until;
  1. Russian did not come to rescue the Bashar regime
  2. The new Arab regimes did not withdraw their support for Bashar’s opponents
  3. The Arab effort to counter terrorism in the region that put an effect over the ISIS in Iraq and Syria.
This is time for Iranians to change their policies in Yemen, forced Houthis to come on table and withdraw from Yemen, Houthis are minority in Yemen and could not rule over it for a long time in any case, what they can do, is just destabilize South Arab region for a long time and that is in favor of neither Arab nor Iran or other countries in the region, also for other countries of the world,  which are having direct trade interest in the region. The situation also provides opportunities to Iranian opponents to destabilize the region.

Russian, China and other world … are they silent?
Although Russian President Putin said he is not a firefighter who perform firefighting role in the current Middle East crisis. But that does not mean that he has no interest in the Middle East. Obviously, he never wants war in the region. Apparently, in new regional circumstances, Russians also have new strategical relationships with Arab regimes. He does not want to provide such weapons and support to the Iran that dismantle his relationship with Arab regimes and he also needs to force and educate Iranians that their policies are wrong in the region against Arabs especially in Yemen.

But that does not mean that if Americans trigger any war against Iran, he will see idle from far away, if he can go to Syria and especially in Venezuela far away to support his allies then why not Iran?

Eventually, under the current situation, the sharp nose of Putin is not smelling war in the region.

Just likewise Chinese could not tolerate any war in the region that blocked its main oil supply line. So, if Americans flare any war in the region that should bring Chinese into conflict directly. 

This week Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe visited Iran with aimed to resolve the US-Iran conflict because the Japanese oil supply line also suffers from this crisis. After the day his meeting with Ayatollah Khamenei two Japanese ship got an explosion in the Strait of Hormuz from unknown activists. Once again American puts its blame on Iran. But the interesting question is that what Strategical gain Iran will get with this Incidence?

Once again, the Americans old foolish tech-ticks…

NATO … Now the part of history.
This the reality, there is no NATO exists now, all the partners in this alliance have been departed, European is now looking for their own fate, even EU (Europe Union) is looking disarray right now…

All adventure with Americans in the Middle East (described above) did not gain any benefit for them, their investment of affords and money for their interests have been lost. Their own home is facing the social and economic crisis…

There were three main pillars of EU the United Kingdom, France and Germany.

  1. The United Kingdom trying to find ways for Brexit, but there is no way to exit from the crisis of Brexit yet.
  2. The French government could not overcome the protesters that can strife anytime the country over the economy.
  3. Germans are trying to secure themselves from the crisis of refugees and immigrants that can destabilize their social norms. Over that, all other European countries are looking towards Germans to lead after the crisis of Brexit and French strife.
Under those circumstances, Europe does not have trust in Americans, so have no interest in current Iran blocking campaign. They are neither going to part of that war nor going to invest in it.

Conclusion
After a lot of efforts, Americans could not convence a single country other than “Israel” to block and surrendering Iran yet. Currently, Americans banking over Arabs and Iran conflict, and if some terror incident will blaze the new war in the region and the presence of American Marian fleet play as a catalyst in the situation. But they failed in their assumptions.

The history taught us that Americans never fought any war with any enemy alone even it is against the Taliban in Afghanistan. So, there is no war for now in Strait of Hormuz…

This is another bluff by Trump…

Putin’s sharp nose is not wrong as usual…

Hormuz concluded.





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